America is back. Is Europe ready?
Charles A. Kupchan
Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
evento correlato: L’America nonostante tutto
After the pandemic: the challenges of the world economy
The definition of America’s as a “boom” economy is amply justified by the 21 months of growth confirmed by the prestigious National Bureau of Economic Research. A historic fact comparable perhaps only to the 1960s of Presidents Kennedy and Johnson and the early Reagan years. Current fiscal stimulus amounting to nearly 6 trillion dollars is far more substantial than the New Deal or post-Second World War measures.
Anatomy of a recovery and the role of exports
The Made in Italy brand and its propensity for exportation has always been an essential component of the Italian economy, playing a crucial role in the development and growth of the national entrepreneurial fabric. Exports continue to be a driver of the economy’s competitiveness thanks to progress that is predicted to surpass 11% in 2021, with prospects over the next three years of maintaining a pace beyond that of the pre-pandemic period.
Energy in the post-COVID transition between geopolitics and growth
The world economy has started down the right path to achieving the environmental goals set by the EU and those underwritten in Paris in 2015, but still lags behind in terms of deadlines. European efforts must, in any case, be viewed within the broader global context, since all the data point to Asia – headed up by China, but not exclusively – as the worst offender in terms of harmful emissions. This is especially due to the use of carbon in this phase of post-pandemic economic recovery. Asia remains the principal problem even considering the combined American and European contribution.
EU-Russia Forum
Relations between the European Union and Russia have been turbulent lately, and there are currently no signs of that letting up, if not in terms of specific and limited pragmatic expectations. The two parties agree substantially on the assumption that dialogue is the preferable tack in diplomatic relations, even in the presence of deep differences of opinion and interests. Not even a summit is to be viewed as a reward or concession, yet can be useful as an occasion for frank discussion of the thornier issues.
Foreign policy: a lever for economic development
Today’s international scenario is distinguished by a strong interdependence of foreign policy and domestic priorities, particularly as a lever for economic development. The pandemic has once again confirmed the need for broad multilateral cooperation in the spirit of “build back better”. This in terms of sustainable transition (production as well as consumption) and fairness, along with the management of regional and global conflicts and tensions.
Global trade and protectionism: a new balance post-Covid
The pandemic has not halted global trade and, with recovery now in sight, the data offer an encouraging picture. Nevertheless, the scenario has changed dramatically. The globalization of the 1990s and the early 2000s have given way to a global fragmentation that has led various countries to reinforce bonds with historic allies and trusted partners.
Defining new standards for a rule-based international order
The national and regional rules applied during the pandemic and the subsequent economic and financial downturn are fragmenting the global economy, reducing transparency and fueling injustice. In an effort to buck this trend, it would seem opportune to discuss the need for establishing a series of global legal standards.
Managing migration flows while living with a pandemic: lessons learned and new tools
The international landscape, for both Europe and for Italy, has changed significantly since the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic, pushing migration issues even more sharply to the fore. The movement of persons has not ceased and migratory flows toward Europe remain considerable, albeit asymmetrical. An example is how movement toward Greece has diminished while Italy is seeing an approximately three-fold increase, mainly from Tunisia and Libya.
Global Health Security and its impact on the economy: a global responsibility
The Covid-19 pandemic has triggered economic, political, social and cultural turmoil across the globe. A crisis unlike any that has occurred in a very long time that proving that health is an integral part of the foundation of a society and its economy. Nevertheless, the response to the pandemic as not been rapid and it is going to be necessary to adjust some previously applied mechanism.
Restarting a USA-China Dialogue
Charles A. Kupchan
Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
The future of Nato
The global security context needs to be interpreted and somehow modelled in order to better evaluate NATO’s trajectory and prospects: the international system seems to be caracterized by a form of “aggressive multipolarity”, as well as by a rather disorderly power competition across the spectrum. The US-China question has inevitably taken center stage, although the evolution of this bilateral relationship is far from clear at this stage.
The China challenge for the Transatlantic Alliance
François Heisbourg
Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique
evento correlato: The future of Nato
Thinking beyond NATO’s traditional role
Fidel Sendagorta
Director of Foreign and Security Policy, Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs
evento correlato: The future of Nato
A forward-looking vision for NATO
Marina Sereni
Vice Minister, Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International cooperation
evento correlato: The future of Nato
The Western Alliance and black elephants
Julian Lindley-French
Chairman, The Alphen Group and Senior Fellow, Institute for Statecraft, London
evento correlato: The future of Nato
India in the international system
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri
Distinguished Fellow, Ananta Aspen Centre
The pandemic’s effect on the international system
Charles A. Kupchan
Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
China’s economic outlook
Fan Gang
Director, National Economic Research Institute, China Reform Foundation
China in the post-Covid order: implications for the EU and Italian business interests
The Covid-19 crisis is rocking the world economy, and in the wake, no less, of an already partially underway “de-globalization” process. The diversification – and possible fragmentation – of the global supply chain presents a major challenge to the Chinese economy, but it is not at all certain that it will have such drastically negative effects on global growth, since there are a great many companies (including some Italian ones) interested today in breaking into the Chinese market, and Chinese companies interested in diversifying trade partnerships.