The future of Nato
The global security context needs to be interpreted and somehow modelled in order to better evaluate NATO’s trajectory and prospects: the international system seems to be caracterized by a form of “aggressive multipolarity”, as well as by a rather disorderly power competition across the spectrum. The US-China question has inevitably taken center stage, although the evolution of this bilateral relationship is far from clear at this stage.
The China challenge for the Transatlantic Alliance
François Heisbourg
Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique
evento correlato: The future of Nato
Thinking beyond NATO’s traditional role
Fidel Sendagorta
Director of Foreign and Security Policy, Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs
evento correlato: The future of Nato
A forward-looking vision for NATO
Marina Sereni
Vice Minister, Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International cooperation
evento correlato: The future of Nato
The Western Alliance and black elephants
Julian Lindley-French
Chairman, The Alphen Group and Senior Fellow, Institute for Statecraft, London
evento correlato: The future of Nato
India in the international system
Pramit Pal Chaudhuri
Distinguished Fellow, Ananta Aspen Centre
The pandemic’s effect on the international system
Charles A. Kupchan
Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations
China’s economic outlook
Fan Gang
Director, National Economic Research Institute, China Reform Foundation
China in the post-Covid order: implications for the EU and Italian business interests
The Covid-19 crisis is rocking the world economy, and in the wake, no less, of an already partially underway “de-globalization” process. The diversification – and possible fragmentation – of the global supply chain presents a major challenge to the Chinese economy, but it is not at all certain that it will have such drastically negative effects on global growth, since there are a great many companies (including some Italian ones) interested today in breaking into the Chinese market, and Chinese companies interested in diversifying trade partnerships.
The future of energy market
David Livingston
Deputy Director Climate and Advanced Energy, Atlantic Council
The Pandemic and the power sector
An overall energy transition is under way, and has been for several years despite significant structural obstacles and cyclical ups and downs. The ongoing pandemic and the related economic slowdown have come at a critical juncture in this respect. Today’s situation has highlighted a connection between GDP levels, population density and the impact of Covid-19 infections – likely through air quality – as manifested in various areas of Northern Italy and probably elsewhere.
The world post Covid-19
The Covid-19 pandemic has brought the world to the edge of a new frontier, and underscored the urgency need to redesign economic systems and development models, opting for what the new European Commission has described as greener and more sustainable and inclusive approaches. China, where it all started, has been the first nation to succeed in controlling and preventing the pandemic.
Italy, Europe and India: building a post-covid economy
The world is in the midst of an unprecedented health and economic crisis, and there seems to be a vacuum in global leadership (certainly of US leadership). No single country can offer an effective recipe for resolution. The EU, at least, has recently demonstrated the ability to come together and agree on a large economic support package, but there remains a need for coordination at an even broader level. This, in turn, may require a consensus on common standards, from fair trade to scientific cooperation to specific health issues.
The Europe-Russia Forum
The dialogue between the EU and Russia has practically come to a halt over the past few years, for various reasons. Official EU policy includes the concept of “selective engagement”, which now presents an opportunity in light of relevant common interests in the context of the growing US-China clash. All EU members and Russia favour a continuation of the multilateral system in key areas, such as international trade and technological cooperation – the latter having become a precondition for effective policies in almost any sector.
The Transatlantic future beyond Covid
Coping with the pandemic and the socio-economic effects of the lockdown is a tough test of the resilience of transatlantic relations at a substantially unstable global moment.
Gli Stati Uniti alla prova di COVID-19
The pandemic has caught the United States at a delicate pre-electoral moment. The incumbent president is counting heavily on solid and sustained economic growth, while the Democratic Party is offering an alternative at least partly founded on a larger government role in income distribution and in providing essential services – including healthcare.
Assessing risk: business in global disorder
Prospects for the global system, in economic/financial as much as political/strategic terms, are suffering the lack of a clear-cut ordering principle. There is no doubt that the international order is changing: Fragmentation and insufficient governance are a serious risk, with the rise of problems that cannot be confronted at national, and possibly not even regional level, ranging from financial rules to big data and privacy, and from climate change to migration.
National identities around the world
While certainly not exhaustive, this summary clearly reveals one of the principle reasons for the European crisis and the current tensions between the EU and national identities that has raised its ugly head thanks to sovereigntist and populist pressures. Excessive focus on the rules, especially by an increasingly weaker Commission, further distances the development of a politically empowered community system; at the same time, distancing citizens from institutions and revealing how low governments’ faith in each other is.
Geopolitics, Economics and Ethics of artificial Intelligence
Enormous investments have been going into artificial intelligence for some time now. In some cases the returns have been unclear; neither are we entirely sure what artificial intelligence, machine learning and algorithms are, or what the difference between them is. What is certain, however, is that the future of the economy and of the society is inextricably bound to this new technological revolution.