Mideast Flashpoints

Hezbollah’s risky adventure in Syria

One of the most enigmatic gray areas that defense and security analysts have to navigate is the assessment of Hezbollah’s strategic capabilities. Yet, military power only partially explains the standing of the “Party of God”, and excessive focus on its weapons could be misplaced...

La percezione iraniana della visione saudita

È stata accolta con un malcelato scetticismo, a Teheran, la divulgazione dell’ambizioso piano saudita di sviluppo economico e diversificazione industriale conosciuto come Vision 2030...

The Iraqi conundrum beyond ISIS

With the mentioning of Iraq these days, one immediately thinks of the so-called Islamic State (ISIS). It was in Iraq that more than ten years ago the primary structure of what would become ISIS was born, and it was in Iraq that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi’s “Caliphate” was proclaimed...

Saudi Arabia's changing path: ambition and fear

Since King Salman took power in January 2015, Saudi Arabia has undergone major internal changes. However, in the past few months, the reforms introduced in the Kingdom have been even more significant, due to the dip in oil prices, but also to the rising power of Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman...

The Turkish Prime Minister’s fall from grace

On May 5, Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu announced he would leave office and his role as the leader the Justice and Development Party (AKP), many months before completing the four-year mandate given to his government after the November 2015 elections...

La Turchia tra il vortice siriano, le sfide interne e il rapporto difficile con la UE

La guerra civile siriana ha innescato un'ondata d'instabilità che rischia di travolgere la Turchia...

Libya’s competing centers of power and the West’s priority: support the political process

After the fall of Muammar Qaddafi and particularly since the summer of 2014, Libya lacked a central government and was instead divided between multiple centers of power...

The thorns in the side of Tunisia's young democratic process

The Tunisian Revolution is regarded as the most successful experience of democratic transition in the Arab Spring countries. The military did not try to hijack, as it was the case in Egypt, nor did it turn it into a civil war, as it did in Syria and Yemen, or to pure chaos like in Libya...

L’Egitto 5 anni dopo Tahrir: un paese sospeso

A cinque anni dalle proteste di piazza Tahrir, che segnarono il capolinea politico dell’era Mubarak e uno dei momenti di più grande impatto delle primavere arabe, non è per nulla chiaro se l’Egitto del presidente Abdel Fattah al-Sisi riuscirà a completare la sua travagliata transizione democratica, o almeno a raggiungere la stabilità politica...

Le monarchie del Golfo fra rivolte e petrolio basso: Stato e società in evoluzione

Per l’Arabia Saudita e le altre monarchie del Golfo, il crollo del prezzo degli idrocarburi potrebbe avere un impatto socio-politico maggiore di quello delle “primavere arabe” di cinque anni fa...